Posts Tagged ‘potw’

Tourney Time!

Thursday, March 11th, 2010

I can’t believe it has been 30 years since my Duke team won this championship in 1980. What great memories it brings back being here in Greensboro. I had the honor of playing in three straight Finals, winning twice( The other being ‘78 vs. Wake)It is now my honor to get to call seven games, including the finals, for Raycom. I cannot wait for the action to unfold on the court and the 2010 Champion to be crowned on Sunday!

Thursday’s Games-

Noon- Boston College vs. Virginia- The best story line of this game is that it is Tony Bennett’s first trip to the ACC tournament. He did an incredible job with this team, getting them off to a 5-2 start before the wheels fell off. They couldn’t overcome the suspension of Sylvan Landesberg and have lost 9 straight. BC should win and then get the right to wear a blindfold and smoke a cigarette as they face Duke in the quarters.

2:00pm – Wake vs. Miami- Wake got a critical win against Clemson to finish the season after losing 4 straight. I believe to get a win here to solidify their NCAA tournament bid. They split the season series with Miami, and could be in trouble in this game if they don’t shoot the three well and Dwayne Collins shows up big for the Cane’s.Scott and Grant must also play well to help Miami salvage a disappointing season.

7:00pm- Georgia Tech vs. UNC- This is the most intriguing game of the day. Georgia Tech has to make a deep run in the tournament to make their case for a tournament bid. The beat the Heels twice during the regular season, including a 68-51 beat down in Atlanta. Tech’s frontline is formidable and needs to dominate the paint. It will be interesting to see how Carolina comes out for this game. They have had a miserable year and this is their last chance to regain some respect.

9:00pm- Clemson vs NC St.- This is the day one game I will broadcasting and could be interesting. State finished the year winning 3 of 4 and are feeling good about themselves. They arte running more sets and Javi Gonzalez is playing at a high level. Clemson is a tired team, having played FSU, Georgia Tech and Wake in the last week of the season. They must find some energy or they could be looking at an early upset.

2010 ACC Tournament Predictions – Brandon Rink of On the B.Rink

Wednesday, March 10th, 2010

We went over the contenders, sleepers, and those in bubble trouble on Monday–now we pick all the games of the ACC Tournament!

The way I have the tournament going–the ACC should have 7 NCAA bids–and a one seed with the Blue Devils–Selection Sunday should be kind to the ACC.

Day One Matchups

(Picks in bold)
8] Boston College Eagles vs. 9) Virginia Cavaliers, 12 EST

5) Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. 12) Miami Hurricanes, 2ish

7) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. 10) North Carolina Tar Heels, 7

6) Clemson Tigers vs. 11) NC State Wolfpack, 9ish

Analysis: The ‘Hoos kick off the day with the first and only upset of day one–it’s a virtual coin flip game on a neutral court as Virginia has to win some time right? Game two is much easier to pick as the Deacs will cruise over the Canes as they swept the season series and Miami will be without one of their best in Dwayne Collins in the paint. Georgia Tech faces a must win against a team they swept in the Heels–again, I’m ignoring the “hard to beat a team 3 teams” rule–well, because the Jackets are the better team and should win. The Tigers are in the night-cap against a semi-home team in NC State–the ACC Tourney is Trevor Booker time and he will shine in Greensboro to a Tigers’ win.

Matchups

1) Duke Blue Devils vs. 9) Virginia Cavaliers, 12 EST

4) Virginia Tech Hokies vs. 5) Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 2ish

2) Maryland Terrapins vs. 7) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 7

3) Florida State Seminoles vs. 6) Clemson Tigers, 9ish

Analysis: The Blue Devils blitzed the Cavaliers up in Charlottesville not long ago–Blue Devils will roll to a double digit victory. The Hokies/Deacs game is one of my favorites of the day as they battle in Blacksburg to an excellent game where the Hokies won–if the Deacs are on–they ride the basic home advantage to victory, but I like Malcolm Delaney and the Hokies to get to the ACC semis. The Tigers and Noles used to be regular sparring partners in the play-in game of the old 9 team format–both programs have improved a bunch since then and defense is the main emphasis for both teams–expect a low scoring, upset by the Tigers as just enough 3-pointers fall and Trevor Booker shows why he is All-ACC against the many talented bigs of the ‘Noles.

Day Three Matchups

1) Duke Blue Devils vs. 4) Virginia Tech Hokies, 1:30 EST

2) Maryland Terrapins vs. 6) Clemson Tigers, 4

Analysis: The Blue Devils and Terps are the class of the ACC right now and should make the finals barring injuries–they both had the most complete season and finished well. Focus always could be an issue for top teams in a super-conference tournament, but with the senior guards that lead both teams in Vasquez and Scheyer, it’s hard to see them faltering. The Tigers have the best shot after already beating Maryland once this season and playing well on the road at College Park in a loss–but I feel the pace Maryland can get on offensively will be too much for the Tigers once again.

Championship Sunday

1) Duke Blue Devils vs. 2) Maryland Terrapins, 1:00 EST

Analysis: The Blue Devils and Terps have everything to play for on Selection Sunday which will make for a great game–Blue Devils take the rubber match as the Blue Devils play better defense on the Terps shooters and shoot better themselves to notch another ACC Championship.

Who wins the ACC Tournament? Who’s your sleeper/dark horse? Enjoy the ACC Tournament on Raycom and check out my site at OnTheB-Rink.com/blog and Twitter feed @onthebrinklive for constant updates!

2010 ACC Tournament Projections–Final Edition

Thursday, March 4th, 2010

This year’s ACC Tournament could be as vital as it has been in recent history to NCAA Tourney bids…here’s how I project the seeds right now.

I’ve been crunching numbers, breaking down schedules, looking at tiebreakers, and flipping coins. Here’s how I project the ACC season to finish…

Team ACC Record ACC Seed Proj. Tiebreak
Duke 13-3

1

1-1; 1-0; 4-0
Maryland 13-3

2

1-1; 2-0; 1-2
Clemson 10-6

3

2-0
Florida State 10-6

4

0-2
Virginia Tech 9-7

5

Georgia Tech 8-8

6

1-1; 1-1
Wake Forest 8-8

7

1-1; 0-1
Boston College 6-10

8

Virginia 5-11

9

2-0
North Carolina 5-11

10

2-1
NC State 5-11

11

1-2
Miami 4-12

12

———————-

Projected Matchups

1) Duke vs. 8] Boston College/9) Virginia

2) Maryland vs. 7) Wake Forest/10) North Carolina

3) Clemson vs. 6) Georgia Tech/11) NC State

4) Florida State vs. 5) Virginia Tech/12) Miami

Game Schedule

Day One(March 11)

12:00(EST)–8] BC vs. 9) UVA
2:00–5) Virginia Tech vs. 12) Miami
7:00–7) Wake vs. 10) UNC
9:00–6) GT vs. 11) NC State

Day Two(March 12)

12:00–1) Duke vs. 8] BC/9) UVA
2:00–4) FSU vs. 5) VT/12)Miami
7:00–2) MD vs. 7) Wake/10) UNC
9:00–3) Clemson vs. 6) GT/11)NC State

Day Three(March 13)

1:30–1) Duke vs. 8] BC/9) UVA (vs.) 4) FSU vs. 5) VT/12)Miami
4:00–2) MD vs. 7) Wake/10) UNC (vs.) 3) Clemson vs. 6) GT/11)NC State

Day Four(March 14)

1:00–ACC Championship

Projection Quirks/Commentary

>Duke/Maryland are tied at the top with Duke coming out on top for the one seed. Clemson rides their excellent season-ending streak into a 3 seed. Florida State keeps the bye for the last of the top seeds. Hokies and Deacs fall off into the lower seeds for opening round play. Georgia Tech leap-frogs Wake Forest for the 6 seed. The lower seeds remain the same from our last projections at OTB.

> On the tiebreakers, I was going off from the ACC official site page on them.

> The new tie-breaks for this edition are at the 3rd/4th seed battle as Clemson went 2-0 against Florida State for that seed. And Georgia Tech and Wake Forest split the two game series so their records against Duke are compared–the Jackets winning pct. is higher as they went 1-1 where Wake went 0-1.

> The Blue Devils enter the tie-break section as they lose on Wednesday, but win the tie-break. This one is a bit complicated–since Maryland/Duke split the season series, so their respective records against the next highest team is the determining factor–both were undefeated against 3 seed FSU. The next slot down–we have another tie-break. Maryland and Duke’s record against Clemson, Wake Forest, and Virginia Tech is combined and Duke comes out 4-0 with the Terps going 1-2 after losing to Wake Forest and Clemson.

> The last tie-breaker is another three-way with Virginia, North Carolina, and NC State. Virginia swept the Tobacco Road teams, UNC went 2-1, and NC State 0-2.

Tourney Talk

First Round/Quarterfinals

> The Blue Devils have a semi-favorable outlook to make it to the conference finals–though Virginia Tech has the guards/defense to go on a run. The red hot Tigers and Terps should meet in the semis though Wake and Georgia Tech are always dangerous–even with how poorly they have played down the stretch. Of the first round matchups, the UNC/Wake rematch is the most fascinating(sorry UVA-BC) and it should be a dog fight. Georgia Tech/NC State is interesting too as the Jackets need this win for security and would really love one more in the quarters.

Semifinals/Finals

Duke should prevail out of their bracket to the finals though Virginia Tech might present a challenge with their experienced guards. The other bracket is fascinating with the red hot Tigers and Terps meeting in the semis unless the struggling Deacs/Jackets trip them up. I’ll take the Terps to nip the Tigers for a 2nd time. And we get the classic rematch before the NCAAs of Duke/Maryland–Blue Devils own the ACC Tourney and the Terps lately in the state of NC so go with Duke here.

Looking to tweak this after each series of games—your input is encouraged. What team will perform better than projected? Who will be worse? Who do you like in the matchups to win the ACC Tourney right now?

G-Man Goes To Washington

Friday, February 26th, 2010

I wish I was in the land of cotton! – Well, not on a permanent basis, but I did have a great initial visit to Oxford, Mississippi for the Ole Miss/Florida game. The result was not good for Andy Kennedy and the home team as the loss probably ended their tournament dream. It was great to reconnect with him. I believe Kennedy will get the job done there and he was very proud of their brand new practice facility which should drive recruiting success. Had a great time touring Oxford inTim Brando’s tricked out van. ( It puts the Griswold’s ride to shame- check it out on G Tube!) Had an awesome time after the game. Got the inside tour at William Faulkner’s house named Rowan Oak. Saw the phone where he accepted the call informing him of his Nobel Prize for Literature! Then went to The Library for a libation (Thanks, Dess, for the hospitality!) and then on to Taylor Grocery for the best catfish on the planet. Timmy B tried to eat his body weight in fried catfish!

Then it was on to Durham for the Virginia Tech game.My day started at 5:30am in Oxford, taking a car to Memphis to catch a delayed flight to Durham, arriving at the hotel at 2:00pm, doing the game and finally driving my rental back to Charlotte afterwards and collapsing in bed at 12:30 am!!Long day, long sentence- must be channeling Faulkner! Duke’s offense was on ice for 30 minutes but Singler and Smith came alive in the end to give Duke the win. I must admit that I get spoiled by the atmosphere in Cameron- the crowd understood the importance of the game and were in full throat.

And the Silver medal goes to… I don’t agree with Carolina’s decision to don silver uniforms and shoes for their game against FSU. I completely understand the celebration of 100 years of Carolina basketball but disagree with the celebration of an anniversary of a shoe brand.Why provide more ammo in a season gone sideways? The marketing and celebration of a shoe should have been handled by Nike.

G-man goes to Washington- While I’m not Mr. Smith, I will be calling the Notre Dame/ Georgetown game this Saturday @ Noon on CBS in our nation’s capitol. Mike Brey must absorb the loss of All-American candidate Luke Harangody and his 25 point average. They are coming off a very impressive home win against Pitt on Wednesday. They must be patient in defending Georgetown’s offense and not give up easy baskets. John Thompson III has done a terrific job with the Hoya’s and figures to get them back to the NCAA tournament after missing last year. They are a year older and a much more mature team. They like to feed off their crowd and are not afraid to play uptempo.The offense goes through center Greg Monroe and guards Chris Wright and Austin Freeman are very explosive.This game will have serious tournament implications for both teams.

Sunday Night Hoops- Speaking of serious tournament implications, Clemson @ FSU will be critical to both. Clemson has been shooting the 3 better lately, but have to prove to the selection committee they can win on the road.The Tiger’s are 1-5 in conference away from Littlejohn and desperately need a quality ACC road win.Trevor Booker is having an all league season but the key is the health of Demontez Stitt. Their record with him healthy is dramatically better than when he is sub-par. The Noles solidified a spot in the Big Dance with a win at Carolina on Wednesday. They are now 20-7 overall and 9-5 in the ACC. Barring a total collapse, they should be a part of March Madness. Look for Chris Singleton and Soloman Alibi to vie for Defensive player of the year. The insertion of Michael Snaer into the starting lineup has given them a boost.Should be a very intense game between two defensive-minded teams!

ACC Tournament Projections–02/26/10

Thursday, February 25th, 2010

This year’s ACC Tournament could be as vital as it has been in recent history to NCAA Tourney bids…here’s how I project the seeds right now. For the next couple weeks, I’ll have the post-weekend edition on OTB and over at Raycom after the mid-week games.

I’ve been crunching numbers, breaking down schedules, looking at tiebreakers, and flipping coins. Here’s how I project the ACC season to finish…

Team ACC Record ACC Seed Proj. Tiebreak
Duke 13-3

1

Maryland 12-4

2

Florida State 11-5

3

Virginia Tech 10-6

4

1-0(Actual)
Wake Forest 10-6

5

0-1(Actual)
Georgia Tech 8-8

6

1-1; 1-1
Clemson 8-8

7

1-1; 0-2
Virginia 6-10

8

1-0
Boston College 6-10

9

0-1
Miami 5-11

10

North Carolina 4-12

11

NC State 3-13

12

———————-

Projected Matchups

1) Duke vs. 8] Virginia/9) Boston College

2) Maryland vs. 7) Clemson/10) Miami

3) Florida State vs. 6) Georgia Tech/11) North Carolina

4) Virginia Tech vs. 5) Wake Forest/12) NC State

Projection Quirks/Commentary

> First off, thanks to a reader of the blog for setting me straight on the tourney pairings–I was looking at the tiebreakers so much I didn’t lock in the pairings at 1 vs. 8/9, 2 vs. 7/10, 3 vs. 6/11, and 4 vs. 5/12.

> On to the changes, FSU moves up into the top seeds all the way to the third seed as they win out now. Maryland went up two wins also to get to the 2nd seed. The Deacs slide out of the top seeds by losing a tiebreaker to VT. Clemson slips back to 8-8 instead of 9-7 from my projections at OTB. And BC moves up to 6-10, but lose out to UVA who maybe–just maybe will rise up and play something close to how they had when they were winning games.

> On the tiebreakers, I was going off from the ACC official site page on them.

> The Georgia Tech/Clemson tie-break came-down to their record against Duke in which the Jackets went 1-1 and Clemson 0-2 as each team’s record against the top team in the standings(Duke) is the rule here when they split the series.

> Virginia Tech and Virginia advance on head-to-head records vs. Wake and BC respectively.

Tourney Talk

> FSU has a mixed draw as they swept the Jackets/Heels, but the potential second round opponent–Maryland–swept them. A Wake/Virginia Tech quarter will be a dog-fight–which helps Duke in the semis. I’ll go with the top seeds advancing right now with the Blue Devils taking it.

Looking to tweak this after each series of games—your input is encouraged. What team will perform better than projected? Who will be worse? Who do you like in the matchups to win the ACC Tourney right now?

Raycom ACC Power Poll Ballot–02/23/10

Monday, February 22nd, 2010

Duke stays atop the ACC while a couple of ACC teams rise from the middle in Clemson and FSU–and UNC in last?!

David Tucker over at the Maryland Raycom Blog has been compiling a poll of the ACC blogs for an ACC Basketball Power Poll, and here’s my ballot with semi-insightful commentary. The ACC Tourney projections will be up Tuesday on my site at On The B.Rink.

1) Duke Blue Devils

The Devils swept the week with a closer than expected duel in Miami and a hotly contested game with the Hokies. They play one non-conference game with Tulsa and at Virginia on Sunday. If Duke can win-out, the ACC Tournament will be playing for a number one seed in the NCAA Tournament.

2) Maryland Terrapins

Terps escaped with the Cliff Tucker buzzer-beater over Georgia Tech and took-down the Pack in a much less exciting game. Maryland has the toughest week of anybody in the ACC coming up with a hot Clemson team coming to Comcast and the trip to Blacksburg where Virginia Tech has not lost yet.

3) Virginia Tech Hokies

Hokies had a trying week with beating the Deacs and losing a tough one at Duke. Hokies travel to BC before another big one against the Terps to get back in second place.

4) Wake Forest Demon Deacons

The Deacs are free-falling at the moment after a close road loss at Virginia Tech and an inexplicable 68-54 loss at NC State. The road was not kind to Wake’s key freshman contributors C.J. Harris and Ari Stewart who scored a combined 11 points in the games(Harris 7 in VT, 0 in NCSU; Stewart 2 at VT, 2 at NCSU). The Demon Deacons only have one game this week with the struggling Heels coming to Winston-Salem.

5) Florida State Seminoles

The ‘Noles announced their presence as a contender for one of the top four ACC seeds with a 69-50 win to crush UVA’s fleeting chance at an NCAA bid. FSU travels to Chapel Hill to take on the Heels and return to face Clemson on Sunday.

6) Clemson Tigers

The Tigers took what FSU started and continued the ‘Hoo-bashing with a 72-49 blowout win. Clemson got the necessary 3-game home-stretch sweep and look strong going into the rest of their schedule. They take on Maryland in what should be an excellent game on Raycom on Wednesday at 9 and Florida State also on the road on Sunday.

7) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

After losing by last second shot to Maryland, Georgia Tech has to take 2 of their final 3 ACC games to stay in the NCAAs talk.  BC kicks off the stretch at home on Saturday before making the trip up I-85 to Clemson in March, and finally a home match with Virginia Tech.

8] Virginia Cavaliers

It was ugly–the entire week–u-g-l-y. The ‘Hoos lost by an average of over 20 points to Maryland, Florida State, and Clemson. The Cavaliers try to end the 5 game losing streak in Miami before coming home to attempt to knock off the Blue Devils.

9) Boston College Eagles

The Eagles defeated the Tar Heels 71-67 giving the Eagles a little separation from the back of the pack in the ACC. The Hokies come to town on Wednesday and travel to Georgia Tech later in the week.

10) Miami Hurricanes

Miami still has the weirdest contrast of overall to ACC records with the 17-9 overall and 3-9 ACC after dropping the Duke contest 81-74. Miami had the lead at the half, but as has been constant this conference season, the Canes could only keep the effort up for one half.

11) NC State Wolfpack

NC State pulled off the big home win over the Demon Deacons on Saturday after a decent effort in the loss against Maryland. The ‘Pack take the mid-week off before the trip to Miami this weekend.

12) North Carolina Tar Heels

Can’t say I saw this coming this season–UNC being last in late February in the ACC. UNC and NC State are 1 and 1a right now for worst so I gave the ‘Pack the nod with the big win over Wake Forest. UNC will most likely finish 15-16 and not even be eligible for the NIT–it’s remarkable with the talent on that team that the Heels sunk this far in a year coming off the NCAA title. FSU comes to the Dean Dome and the Heels make the short trip to Winston-Salem later on in the week.

Duke has a lock on the ACC now, but everything else is up for grabs. Are you feeling 7 bids for the ACC in the NCAAs? 6? 5?

ACC Tournament Projections: Edition Three

Thursday, February 18th, 2010

This year’s ACC Tournament could be as vital as it has been in recent history to NCAA Tourney bids…here’s how I project the seeds right now…

I’ve been crunching numbers, breaking down schedules, looking at tiebreakers, and flipping coins. Here’s how I project the ACC season to finish…

Team ACC Record ACC Seed Proj. Tiebreak
Duke 13-3

1

Virginia Tech 11-5

2

2-0
Wake Forest 11-5

3

1-1
Maryland 11-5

4

0-2
Florida State 10-6

5

Georgia Tech 8-8

6

1-1; 1-1
Clemson 8-8

7

1-1; 0-2
Virginia 7-9

8

Boston College 5-11

9

2-0
Miami 5-11

10

0-2
North Carolina 4-12

11

NC State 3-13

12

Projected Matchups

1) Duke vs. 5) Florida State/12) NC State

2) Virginia Tech vs. 6) Georgia Tech/11) North Carolina

3) Wake Forest vs. 7) Clemson/10) Miami

4) Maryland vs. 8] Virginia/9) Boston College

Projection Quirks/Commentary

> After the mid-week games, a  number of shifts with wins/losses occurred among the teams. Virginia Tech and Florida State gained one more projected win(VT to 11-5, FSU to 10-6) while Virginia and North Carolina took steps backward(UVA to 7-9, UNC to 4-12).

> On the tiebreakers, I was going off from the ACC official site page on them. Which say…

> On the 3 team tiebreaker, all of the head-to-head records between the 3 teams are combined for each school to get the best winning percentage. The top seeds are effected this time around with Virginia Tech going 2-0, Wake Forest 1-1, and Maryland 0-2.

> In our first instance of the two team tie with a series split, the Georgia Tech/Clemson tie-break came-down to their record against Duke in which the Jackets went 1-1 and Clemson 0-2 as each team’s record against the top team in the standings(Duke) is the rule here.

> In the exact opposite scenario, BC swept the Canes to get the 9th seed over Miami.

> Virginia Tech emerges as the big winner in this round by catapulting to the 2nd seed and with beating every team in their bracket with the exception of Georgia Tech. Duke’s prospects have not gotten any easier for winning the tournament with their matchups. The strengths of the divisions have evened out and 6-7 teams could win it.

Looking to tweak this after each series of games—your input is encouraged. What team will perform better than projected? Who will be worse? Who do you like in the matchups to win the ACC Tourney right now?

Raycom ACC Power Poll Ballot–02/16/10

Monday, February 15th, 2010

Another week and a little more separation between the haves and have-nots among the NCAA Tourney teams…

David Tucker over at the Maryland Raycom Blog has been compiling a poll of the ACC blogs for an ACC Basketball Power Poll, and here’s my ballot with semi-insightful commentary.

1) Duke Blue Devils

The Blue Devils passed the test of being the ACC’s best by taking down the Heels on the road and Terps at home with ease. Center Brian Zoubek put up a surprising 16 points and 17 rebounds against the Terps–if he keeps this up, the Devils are going to be a force down the stretch. Duke is only a game ahead of the Deacs still with a trip to Miami and Virginia Tech in Durham on the weekend.

2) Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Wake Forest notched wins at home against Boston College and Georgia Tech to stay within a game of the Blue Devils. The Deacs travel to Virginia Tech and NC State–the Hokies are coming fast on the Demon Deacons which makes this week’s Duke vs. VT and Wake vs. VT games really interesting.

3) Virginia Tech Hokies

Hard to argue that another team is playing better than the Hokies right now after four straight wins including the blitzing of NC State on the road and battling out a home win over rival Virginia. The Hokies have two crucial games this week as they can take the reins of the ACC with a sweep of the Deacs and Devils–very possible they can lose both too–most likely scenario is the split with a win over Wake and loss at Duke.

4) Maryland Terrapins

Terps went 6-2 in January and have started 2-1 in February with one game being played after this particular ballot went in with Virginia played on Monday. The blowout loss at Duke knocked them down two spots in my ballot more for the loss + the Deacs/Hokies performances–I expected the loss though. Maryland has a challenging and rare 3 game week with UVA, @NC State, and at home with Georgia Tech.

5) Florida State Seminoles

The ‘Noles lost at Clemson and played an excellent second half to blowout the Eagles at home–putting FSU among the top 6 ACC teams with an above .500 ACC record. Two challenging road games to come this week as they go to Charlottesville to take on the Cavaliers and down to Chapel Hill for a game with the up-and-down Heels. A sweep/split and the Noles are looking great going into March–two losses and the bubble edges to burst status.

6) Clemson Tigers

The Tigers got the crucial sweep of the Florida ACC teams with the 10 point win over FSU and 8 point win over the Canes. Clemson’s quest to keep off the bubble continues with their one game this week against the weary Wahoos of Virginia who will be playing their 4th game in 7 days.

7) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

The Jackets continued their struggles with losses to Miami and Wake Forest. At 5-6 in conference and five games to go, Georgia Tech might need 4 more ACC wins for NCAA bid security or 3 with a couple of ACC Tournament wins. Their shot at hitting that mark begins with UNC at home and a trip to Maryland later in the week.

8. Virginia Cavaliers

After the quick start in the ACC, the ‘Hoos are 1-2 in February with 3 tough games this week–Virginia needs 10-6 for serious consideration to make it into the NCAAs with a couple ACC Tournament wins. Starting Monday, they travel to Maryland, face FSU at home, and go on the road to Clemson.

9) North Carolina Tar Heels

The Heels successfully kept out of last place in the ACC against NC State with a blowout win despite losing Ed Davis for the season earlier in the week. Staying out of last and above .500 are the realistic goals left for the Tar Heels though a long-shot chance remains for the NCAAs. On the road, UNC faces Georgia Tech and Boston College this week.

10) Boston College Eagles

The 15-point loss at Florida State broke a streak of 7 games where BC won twice and lost close games for the rest. At 12-13(3-8 ACC), it will be interesting if Coach Skinner can hold on to the team’s attention down the stretch with this week’s game being both at home versus North Carolina and Virginia Tech.

11) Miami Hurricanes

The Canes put together a couple of strong efforts with a win over the bubble-y Jackets and a loss at Clemson. Miami is the anti-BC as they are still 9 games over .500 despite the 8 losses(all in ACC play). Ultimately, Miami’s 17-8 will do nothing for them with their strength of schedule/RPI–they have to win the ACC Tournament. The Canes have the mid-week off to face the Blue Devils on the weekend.

12) NC State Wolfpack

Dead last, meet the Wolfpack. (/HerbSendekReferenceCommenceNowAmIRight?) The ACC is a meat-grinder, but not quite as much this season, NC State has to be better than 2-9 in the ACC–no excuse can pardon how the wheels have come off in Raliegh. Where NC State goes from here is all a matter of the amount of faith in Lowe–the talent is there–if they really believe the team can gel and perform under Lowe, keep him–but if there is any doubt, the option is pretty clear.

We’ll have another ACC Tourney projection up today also so be sure to check it out! Any comments on the week in the ACC?

ACC Tournament Projections–Edition One

Friday, February 12th, 2010

This year’s ACC Tournament could be as vital as it has been in recent history to NCAA Tourney bids…here’s how I project the seeds right now…

I’ve been crunching numbers, breaking down schedules, looking at tiebreakers, and flipping coins. Here’s how I project the ACC season to finish…

Team Record ACC Seed Proj. Tiebreak
Duke 13-3

1

Maryland 11-5

3

0-1(Actual)
Wake Forest 11-5

2

1-0(Actual)
Virginia Tech 10-6

4

Florida State 8-8

7

3-2; 5-7
Georgia Tech 8-8

8

1-4
Virginia 8-8

5

2-1
Clemson 8-8

6

3-2; 6-5
Boston College 6-10

9

Miami 5-11

11

0-1
North Carolina 5-11

10

1-0
NC State 3-13

12

Projected Matchups

(more…)

BATTLE OF THE BLUES

Thursday, February 11th, 2010

There was no question that there was incredible energy at the Smith Center last night. The crowd was as good as I’ve heard in a while, no doubt trying to help Carolina get a much needed victory. And it worked for 30 minutes. Duke then made a critical move necessitated by an injury to Lance Thomas. ( heard today from staff at Duke that it was a bad knee bruise- no structural damage). Coach K went small, putting Singler at the power forward, and that opened up shots and driving lanes for the Big 3. In the end, Duke had playmakers and UNC didn’t. A lack of perimeter scores and playmakers has been Carolina’s biggest flaw and it doesn’t figure to get better this year. It is amazing that UNC and NC St. will play this Saturday for last place in the conference!

” Mind if we dance with your dates?”- It is about time to start looking at the NCAA tournament field. Obviously Duke, Maryland and Wake Forest are solidly in at this point. Then there is a muddled group of 5 that follow them that are at or above .500. Clemson, Georgia Tech and FSU are all 5-5 in conference and 17-7 overeall. They all have good RPI and strength of schedule numbers. My sense is they all have to finish at least 8-8 in conference and that should be good enough for a tournament bid, but an ACC tournament win sure would help. Virginia sits at 5-3 in league play but only 14-7 overall. They have a very high RPI and, in the end, I think they will fade in the second half. It will be the coaching job of the century if they hang on and get a bid.The most interesting team is Virginia Tech. They are 6-3 in the league and 19-4 overall. However, they have a borderline RPI (64) and an abysmal strength of schedule(237). Because of these numbers, I think they need to finish 9-7 in league play with at least an ACC tournament win. Time for all to start shining up their resumes.

My games this weekend- Miami @ Clemson- Saturday @ Noon- This is another must win for the Tigers. They must start climbing over .500 and building some momentum toward March. A healthy Demontez Stitt will be a key for them and some support from the perimeter would certainly take some pressure off of Trevor Booker. Look for them to crank up the press against the Canes, who have not played well on the road and have a young backcourt. Dwayne Collins has to be dominant in the pait if the U can pull of the upset.

Boston College @ FSU – Sunday Night Hoops- The Seminoles are in the same spot as Clemson- This is a must win as they cannot afford a loss on their home court to a bottom tier team.Offense will be at a premium as neither team has made a scoreboard explode this year! They are a much bigger team than BC and must turn them over and score off their defense. BC is a tough team to blow out and have been playing better lately. Reggie Jackson must have a monster game( like Scott Wood earlier this year) for BC to have a chance.