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Duke vs. Clemson Part Two: Revenge of the Tigers?

Friday, January 22nd, 2010

The unique aspect of college basketball as opposed to college football is that, in conference, redemption can usually be achieved in the same season rather than waiting an entire year.

Clemson hosts the Blue Devils who beat them 74-53 earlier this season up at Cameron Indoor Stadium and they get their shot at revenge on Saturday at 9 p.m. at Littlejohn Coliseum.

As we wrote about earlier this season with Duke having to overcome the 27 point margin from last year’s blowout in Littlejohn Coliseum, the Tigers have an uphill battle in this game as they struggled offensively and could not defend the Blue Devils attack. Duke’s pressure shut down any rhythm to the Clemson offense while they pulled away to a comfortable lead in both halves.

Here’s what I see happening in this installment of the budding rivalry:

1) Clemson Pressure Will Be More Effective Than Prior Matchup

Putting on defensive pressure at a home-court environment just works better than on the road. The foul calls are going to come more often on the road with the aggressive press style of defense that Clemson employs while usually at home it becomes more lenient. This was seen evidently last season as not only were the Blue Devils not well equipped to deal with the press, but Clemson was able use a home-court advantage too.

2) Duke Is Better Equipped to Deal With Press Than Last Time in Clemson

As we saw this season already, the Blue Devils have come a long way with their guards like Nolan Smith and Jon Scheyer to deal with the pressure. Duke will not be near as flustered as last season, but there will be as many and probably more than the 15 turnovers that were given up at Cameron in their prior matchup.

3) Game Comes Down to Clemson Guard Demontez Stitt vs. Duke Guards Jon Scheyer/Nolan Smith

Stitt played hurt at Georgia Tech, but did so for 36 minutes and he almost led the Tigers to an ACC road win down the stretch against the Jackets. He is the one guard on Clemson that can effectively drive on the Devils and be able to open up holes in Duke’s pressure. The Tigers’ most important player will be Trevor Booker when it comes to the actual scoring, but Stitt has to be on his game to clinch a victory for the Tigers.

4) Result: Close Clemson Win

Duke has lost every true road game they have played so far, but they have received each team’s best shot–especially from NC State on Wednesday. Duke is the better team, but home environments, especially Clemson, are tough to come out of with a win on the road in the ACC. Clemson will put the pressure on Duke from when they get off the bus which will force missed shots and turnovers that the Tigers will convert on just enough to pull out this key home ACC victory.

Duke/Clemson should be an outstanding game–who do you think will win?

LET THE GAMES BEGIN!

Sunday, December 20th, 2009

Hello ACC Fans!  It has been an honor to be a part of the Raycom family for many years and have the opportunity sit in the best seat in the house and call games in the best college basketball conference in the country. I am really excited about expanding my role and being part of the Raycom on-line experience. I look forward to sharing my views and experiences with you as I travel around the ACC. The video portion is very exciting to me but don’t expect Scorcese! I look forward to interacting with you as another great season of ACC basketball unfolds!

-Mike Gminski

ACC Championship Game/Pre-Bowls and What Knowledge We’ve Gained

Sunday, December 6th, 2009

Really long title today, but some good stuff to discuss…

For my final regular season ranking of the ACC, check out my ACC Power Poll.

ACC Championship Game/Pre-Bowls and What Knowledge We’ve Gained

We were oh-so-close to be right on our projection in the ACC Championship Game, but Georgia Tech’s offense made one more play and Clemson could not answer.

ACC Champion: Georgia Tech

When you rush for 333 yards for 3 TDs and hit every field goal, it’s your night. Georgia Tech was able to slowly grind-out against Clemson’s defense that did all it really could against them. The Jackets had the fear of the big play in the hearts of the Clemson Nation on every play. Coach Johnson has the potential to build a monster at Georgia Tech if he can continue to recruit the quality of player that he has right now, but we will see. This is a landmark victory for the Jackets as it is their first title in 19 years and possibly the first of many to come.

As for Clemson: C.J. Spiller was incredible. He is a champion in my book with his 4 TD and 233 rushing yard day(not counting all the return and receiving yards he went for). Spiller more than deserved his ACC Championship MVP and I hope he goes to  New York for the Heisman ceremonies. We’ve touched on the defense so let’s continue to praise the offense who matched the Jackets’ 300+ rushing yard day with one of their own and were dominant when they were not throwing interceptions. Clemson QB Kyle Parker made a couple of bad decisions, but he also made the necessary throws in key situations–the game certainly does not fall on him. Clemson’s ability to line up and run the ball will be a key going into next year when they lose their top two receiving threats in Jacoby Ford and Michael Palmer–and with guys like Andre Ellington and Jamie Harper to carry the ball–they will do just fine.

ACC Bowl Fun

>The ACC looks to go back-to-back with BCS wins with the champion Jackets who hope to shake-off a disappointing performance last season in the bowl season. A couple of outlets have a matchup with a team that a lot of people feel should be in the BCS National Championship Game with the TCU Horned Frogs–while others have a matchup with Iowa(cue depressing music, man I don’t want to see that–boring). It all depends on if the BCS selects a Boise State-TCU matchup in the Fiesta.

>According to reports, Virginia Tech will be the choice for Chick-Fil-A Bowl which will set into motion the Gator Bowl taking a 6-6(4-4 in ACC) Florida State team over every other ACC bowl elgible team with a better record(presented without comment). The Hokies get Tennessee in a winnable game, but the Vols running game is dangerous. FSU plays West Virginia in a rematch of Bobby Bowden vs. his old team for his last game as Noles’ coach. Florida State is talented enough to run with West Virginia and could pull off the upset despite their unimpressive record, but the defense will be the key.

>The ACC Championship losers in Clemson go to Nashville most likely to face Kentucky in a rematch of the 2007 Music City Bowl–gotta like the Tigers here, but then again, the teams are pretty similar to back then when the ‘Cats won.

>Miami will be a good get for the Champ Sports Bowl with how well they have played this season against a usually strong Big Ten team in this game. Jacory Harris and a lot of his Northwestern High School brethren on the Canes could be facing a different one from the Big Ten.

>It’s amazing what one loss can do to a team for Clemson and for North Carolina as they will be playing in a relative home game in Charlotte for the Meineke Car Care Bowl. They could be playing a strong Pittsburgh team that could be a nice notch in the ACC’s belt for a win.

>Out West we go to San Francisco with Boston College and they could be face either one of the Bay Area teams of Cal and Stanford. They will be underdogs in either game, but BC has a knack for proving people wrong.

Thoughts on an outstanding ACC Championship Game? C.J. Spiller for Heisman?(Yes.) Any bowl matchups that intrigue you? FSU to Gator thoughts? Have at it…

ACC Championship: Clemson & Georgia Tech look to end their season with a bang

Thursday, December 3rd, 2009

OUCH! The defeats suffered by both Clemson and Georgia Tech really hurt the national image of the ACC. I think the Jackets loss was worse. Georgia is not a great team this season and there had been plenty of heat on Coach Mark Richt in Athens to at least shake up his staff. Tech was on a roll and had a chance to move up in the BCS picture; instead, they couldn’t stop the Bulldogs’ running game and failed to come up with big plays late in the game. To add insult to injury, the loss came at home. The Tigers’ loss didn’t surprise me, but the way it played out did. I’ve called a few South Carolina games this season and, if they can keep from turning the ball over, are capable of beating anyone. They were three down to Florida a few weeks ago and had the ball in Gator territory midway through the fourth quarter when a tipped pass led to a turnover and an eventual TD for the #1 Gators. Clemson, aside from the opening kickoff return by C.J. Spiller, did little on offense. They got “smacked in the mouth,” as they say, and the Gamecocks earned the win.

ACCChampionshipSo that brings us the to ACC Championship game in Tampa as Georgia Tech takes on Clemson. I like the Yellow Jackets by three points. I also think special teams will be the deciding factor, just like they were the first time these teams played back in September in Atlanta. In that game, the Jackets jumped to a 24-0 first half lead thanks to a punt return for a touchdown and a fake field goal touchdown pass. The Tigers didn’t quit and rallied to lead by three in the fourth quarter, but Georgia Tech made two late field goals to pull it out.

This contest will be the last in Tampa with the ACC title game moving to Charlotte next year. Charlotte makes a lot of sense. It’s an easy drive for a lot of ACC schools and Bank of America stadium, despite being 13 years old, is a wonderful facility. The people in Charlotte in charge of getting the game to come to the city have wanted this since the beginning. Jacksonville was a mistake and, while Tampa was an improvement, the championship football game is finally coming to a city that will really embrace it.

So long Bobby Bowden. Bowden is stepping down at season’s end after 44 years of coaching. While he won’t be going out at Florida State in the manner in which he would have liked, he leaves with class and style. It’s amazing how a few years makes a difference. I remember when the Bowden Bowl (Bobby against Clemson coach and son Tommy) was a game to circle on the fall calendar.

So long Al Groh. The Virginia coach finally ran out of “lives”. You won’t hear much from the media about missing Al. Bobby Bowden could make you feel like you were part of the family when you interviewed him. Not Al.

I hope you had a wonderful and safe Thanksgiving. My wife and I had a wild week going to New York City for the semi-finals of the NIT Pre-season tip off, then down to Auburn for the game with Alabama and finally to Los Angeles for USC vs. UCLA. If you’ve never seen the Rockettes’ Christmas Show, I highly recommend that you find the time the next time you are in the “Big Apple” during November and December.

Off to the Big 12 Championship Game in Dallas between Texas and Nebraska for ESPN Radio. Check your local listings.

Week 11 of ACC Games: What Knowledge We’ve Gained

Monday, November 23rd, 2009

What’s up and welcome to another edition of WKWG(it’s catching on…wait for it…)

For my ranking of the ACC 1-12, check OTB’s ACC Power Poll: Week 12.

Week 11 of ACC Games: What Knowledge We’ve Gained

We’ve had the ACC Championship pegged since Clemson beat Miami back in October and Georgia Tech kept the rushing game rolling. With the ACCCG set, we pick the game right now, project the bowls, and give insight on the week in ACC football.

ACC Champion: Clemson

Clemson is the only team in the ACC that can match-up and beat the Jackets right now–and I think they will. The Tigers’ offense has been on fire while the Clemson D has been solid in their six game winning streak where they have scored 34 points or more in each game. For Georgia Tech, they execute seamlessly and they are hard for any team to beat, but I still wonder if they can do it in the big game. Clemson has played basically a 5 game ACC Atlantic playoff to get where they are while the Jackets have coasted to their Coastal title. Neither team has a decided advantage in this game and that works in the Tigers’ favor.

Bowl Projections

Orange: Clemson
Clemson is the automatic qualifier for this one and at probably 10-3 with C.J. Spiller and co.–dangerous team for one of the non-AQs like Boise State or possibly an undefeated Cincinnati.

Chick-Fil-A: Virginia Tech
Yes, this is a third time to the ATL for the Hokies, but they are the most attractive choice here as a top 15 team with a great fanbase(though I bet they would not mind a Clemson loss in Tampa to have the Tigers fall here).

Gator: Georgia Tech
If I did not think that the CFA might not want the same ACC team from last season, I would have them in the ACC’s no. 2 bowl.

Champ Sports: North Carolina
If Miami had any fan support, they probably jump UNC here, but the Heels are hot right now and should bring a few with them.

Music City: Miami
If Tennessee/Kentucky is the SEC representative, the Music City will be fine for attendance and take Miami for interesting game.

Meineke Car Care: Florida State
FSU could be coming off a destruction at the Swamp, but a matchup with a team like West Virginia is an interesting one for the guys in Charlotte.

Emerald: Boston College
BC once again falls victim to not being all that sexy of a pick and are shipped out West to possibly play Southern Cal which could be a cool matchup for Eagles’ fans.

Hitch Routes

>I was at the Clemson-Virginia game this weekend and saw a Cavaliers’ team that is still with Groh. He appears to be gone, but his players played hard for him with nothing on the line in Death Valley Saturday. The creativity in the gameplan that led to several scores in the first half make me wonder where that was all season though.

>Florida State has the weirdest team in the ACC. They have an excellent offense no matter the QB apparently, but the defense was dominated by Maryland of all teams who is quickly approaching double digit losses this seasons.

>Virginia Tech finishing up another solid–yet unspectacular–yet still really good–and possibly top ten by the end of it– season. Does that make sense? They beat Miami for their signature win that really is not looking all that great, but still won a number of games are in in the top 15. Their dominance in the ACC since joining is remarkable and will have opportunity to notch yet another ACC win at home versus Virginia. Ryan Williams is a man among boys and has the potential to break a lot of records at Virginia Tech who has had a number a great RBs.

>The Canes keep winning in frustratingly close ways for how talented they are. Miami will finish off what could have been a more promising season against South Florida with a 9 win season and bowl berth most likely outside of the ACC’s top four bowls. The turning point in the Canes season happened against Clemson in Land Shark as they had multiple opportunities to put away the Tigers and they could not. In retrospect, Clemson is playing really well now, but Miami had that game.

>Maryland, NC State, and Duke are our hard luck losers as they all showed flashes of brilliance in their games, but could not sustain the effort for 4 quarters. From some knowledge I gained on Friday with a radio show I work with, it appears Maryland has no option but to keep Maryland with all the money they have vested in Friedgen and the whole coach-in-waiting thing they have with Franklin. You gotta hope as a Terps fan that the performance at FSU was not a fluke and they can be better next season–optimism could start with knocking off BC at home next weekend. As for NC State/Duke, they are teams trending in opposite directions as Duke is on the up-swing and NC State is left with a lot of questions. Wins for both teams could rest a couple fears for next season as Duke takes on Wake Forest on Raycom next week and NC State takes on rival UNC at noon also.

Thanks for reading! ACC Championship picks? Thoughts on the bowls? We’ve got a bunch of contests for commenters going for some sweet shirts(I’ve got my own and like it) so you’ve got an opinion, voice it here!

The Straw That Stirs The Drink…

Wednesday, November 18th, 2009

When the ACC expanded a few years ago, adding Miami and Boston College to make it a 12 team league, two major media markets were also added. In the big picture, that made a lot of sense. The ACC would now be reaching two large population bases to promote increased league coverage along the entire east coast. Television plays a big role in this exposure. If you are asking national advertisers for big dollars and can deliver Boston, Miami, Atlanta, Baltimore and Washington, DC, along with the Triangle area of Raleigh and Charlotte, then the advertising rate you charge should increase. That’s a big positive – but there are also negatives. Most of the markets I have just listed have NFL franchises; some are represented by all four major professional sports. That’s a problem when it comes to getting attention from the media, which is the “straw that stirs the drink” for most sports teams.

I recall a few years ago as I was preparing for a broadcast of a Boston College football game, I would go to the Boston Globe website to find stories about the Eagles and then quarterback sensation Matt Ryan. If I found two stories all week I was lucky. That’s because although BC was headed to the ACC Championship game with a great quarterback, they had to deal with the attention given to the Patriots (NFL), Celtics (NBA), Red Sox (MLB) and Bruins (NHL).

The same goes for the Hurricanes down in Miami, But to be honest, in what I have seen, the Miami Herald and other newspapers in South Florida seem to give college sports solid coverage. Georgia Tech in Atlanta has to fight for its own share of attention with the Falcons (NFL), Braves (MLB), Hawks (NBA) and Thrashers (NHL). And let’s not forget the big media darling in Atlanta, the Georgia Bulldogs of the SEC.

When Matt Ryan was guiding BC to the ACC championship, the economy was strong. Today newspapers have fewer writers on staff to cover sporting events due to cutbacks and layoffs. A veteran writer told me a few days ago that the Atlanta Journal Constitution is down seven sportswriters because of the economy. As a result, the editors have to pick and choose which teams they will cover on the road. All this means that the ACC schools I have mentioned in these markets must come up with alternative ways to get the word out about their sports programs. While I can’t imagine not having a morning paper to read over a good cup of coffee, that day might be coming. The internet has become king and those schools that have put time and effort into a good website will have the edge over those that haven’t. There is always sports radio and local television, but that’s not always a positive either. I did a talk show in Charlotte for a couple of years and, trust me, the best shows were those done after the local team got beat. Everyone had a theory on what had gone wrong and wanted to let you know about it. As for local TV sports, put a stopwatch on how much time is given the sports anchor for his or her nightly report. If it’s a minute and a half they are lucky. We have slowly entered a new and challenging era in the coverage of news and sports and how the ACC and its member schools deal with it will help determine their financial success.

I will be in Boston this weekend calling North Carolina at BC for ESPN Radio. The Eagles still have a shot at the Atlantic Division title. I’ll let you know what page the game day story is on in the Boston Globe. I am sure the front page will still have something about Bill Belichick’s fourth and two call from last Sunday’s loss by the Patriots to the Colts. Check your local listings.

Week 10 of ACC Games and What Knowledge We’ve Gained

Sunday, November 15th, 2009

ACC football looks to have its championship game set…

For my ranking of the ACC 1-12, check out my ACC Power Poll.

Week 10 ACC: What Knowledge We’ve Gained

*We’ve had it Georgia Tech and Clemson in Tampa for a few weeks now and here’s the standings…

(As Of November 14)
ATLANTIC DIVISION
School Conference Pct. Overall Pct.
Clemson 5-2 .714 7-3 .700
Boston College 4-2 .667 7-3 .700
Florida State 3-4 .429 5-5 .500
Wake Forest 2-5 .286 4-7 .364
NC State 1-5 .167 4-6 .400
Maryland 1-5 .167 2-8 .200
COASTAL DIVISION
School Conference Pct. Overall Pct.
Georgia Tech 7-1 .875 10-1 .909
Virginia Tech 4-2 .667 7-3 .700
Miami 4-3 .571 7-3 .700
North Carolina 3-3 .500 7-3 .700
Duke 3-3 .500 5-5 .500
Virginia 2-4 .333 3-7 .300


Projected ACC Championship Game:
Clemson vs. Georgia Tech

Georgia Tech emphatically punched their ticket in Durham while Clemson is one game away with a home win over Virginia coming up. These two teams are not only the champions of their divisions, but also undoubtedly the best two teams in the conference at this point. I’m not buying that if Virginia Tech or Miami was in the Atlantic that they would be better than Clemson right now. Clemson has scored 38 points or more in their 5 game winning streak–add that to the defense they play–no other team is playing this well outside of Georgia Tech.

Projected ACC Champion: Clemson

Clemson is the most complete team in the ACC at this point, but Georgia Tech’s offense is playing at another level right now. Both teams have improved leaps and bounds from their September matchup. So I’m factoring change in venue to a neutral site, full allotment of days to prepare for each other, and the fact that both offenses have improved–got to stick with the Tigers right now.

Bowl Projections

Orange: Clemson

Chick-Fil-A: Virginia Tech

Gator: Georgia Tech

Champ Sports: Miami

Music City: North Carolina

Meineke: Boston College

Emerald: Florida State

Eagle Bank: Duke if they win out

Zone-Read

>North Carolina has really been impressive lately and the defense is still driving the bandwagon. UNC’s 4 INTs forced on Miami’s Harris were the catalyst to the victory to keep up the winning streak. The offense has done just enough to pull out the wins and Heels’ kicker Barth would hit the FGs to put the game away. The Heels have gone from possibly being shut out of the bowls to possibly being in the top tier of the ACC bowls.

>Miami is in meltdown mode as Harris is struggling and the defense is not playing at the level it was earlier. Amazing how quickly a season can change can’t it? The Canes went from being the best team in the ACC after taking out Georgia Tech and FSU early on to now sitting at 3 conference losses and being in the middle of the pack in the Coastal. ACC defenses have learned how to deal with Whipple’s offensive scheme and Harris has not made good  decisions. He throws way too many deep balls into coverage and teams like UNC will take advantage of that.

>BC is the victim of another team’s hot streak. The Eagles have two more ACC games to go, but it probably will not matter in the grand scheme of things with Clemson’s game with Virginia deciding the Atlantic. It is unfortunate for the Eagles for several reasons because of no shot at the Orange then the precipitous fall that the Eagles usually take in the bowl hierarchy. Overall, this was not a good season for the Atlantic Division as the two worst teams in the conference reside there and BC will not get any respect against Coastal teams with similar records.

>Florida State is team enigma. I said when predicting the Wake/FSU game that all they needed was a decent game from freshman QB Manuel to win and they got that and more. The Noles will be bowling now after taking out the Terps next week.

>Duke’s bowl chances increased with a loss. They have to go 2-0 with games at Miami and at home against Wake Forest, but look at how those teams played this week. Miami will return home to play Duke before 15,000 or so, no big bowl aspirations now–Duke could pull it off. As for Wake Forest, Duke is the better team and should win there.

>It’s back to the drawing board for Wake Forest, Maryland, NC State, and Virginia. Two of the four(UVA, Maryland) could have coaches looking in the classifieds while the two Tobacco Road coaches will just work on their teams for next year. Wake’s Skinner did not have a great senior day and his Deacs have not been there all season consistently. For Russell Wilson, he and his Pack have a lot to learn in the offseason–undoubtedly the most disappointing team in the ACC from a preseason hype standpoint.

ACC Championship picks? Bowl projections? Coach to fire? Leave a comment with your thoughts…

Hey Kornheiser…Give Credit Where Credit is Due

Wednesday, November 11th, 2009

The other day I was watching PTI, the ESPN show that features writers Tony Kornheiser and Michael Wilbon. As usual, they were debating the various sports topics of the day when their attention turned to college football. In talking about the BCS and the power conferences this season, Kornheiser observed, “In the ACC, everyone has at least two losses,” – thus dismissing the conference as a whole in the big picture of the nation’s elite.  What?  The last I checked, Georgia Tech is in the ACC and they have an overall record of 9-1.  Yes, Miami has two defeats and everyone else has at least three, but let’s give credit where it is due.  The Yellow Jackets keep inching up the BCS ladder and if they beat Duke this weekend they will clinch the Coastal division title. They also host Georgia before getting ready for the bowl season. Here is the perfect example of the national media already having an image of ACC football without taking a look at the facts. In previous blogs I have written what I think the ACC needs to get back on track in the national picture, but here we have a journalist on a nationally televised show making an assumption – and a false one at that. That TV show is taped in Washington, D.C. and with Maryland part of the sports scene there, the co-hosts should have at least known the numbers of the ACC division leaders.

Kudos to Georgia Tech coach Paul Johnson for his gutsy call in overtime, going for it on fourth down and short inside the five, passing up a game tying field goal, and beating Wake Forest with the touchdown that followed. This should be a fun game this week at Duke with the Blue Devils having a good passing game, something the Jackets defense has had trouble with. Will Duke be able to stop the option offense of Georgia Tech?  Against Army, which runs a similar style, the Devils gave up 266 rush yards, 385 total yards and were outgained by 149 yards, yet still won the game 35-19 thanks in part to two Leon Wright interception returns for touchdowns. I think there should be plenty of points scored in this one. The winner of this game will be the team that plays better defense and forces more turnovers.

Speaking of offense, the Clemson-NC State game should be a shootout.  The Tigers control their destiny in the Atlantic Division.  They are tied with BC for first place but have a win over the Eagles which would be the tie breaker.

It was tough news to hear of the season ending injury to Florida State quarterback Christian Ponder.  He did indicate he would return next season, however, which is great news to whomever is head coach.

After a great trip to Tempe, Arizona last week I stay close to home this weekend, broadcasting Florida at South Carolina for ESPN Radio.  It’s my first up close look at the number one Gators.  Check your local listings.

Week 9 of ACC Games and What Knowledge We’ve Gained

Sunday, November 8th, 2009

Long title…lot’s of knowledge below…

For my ranking of the ACC 1-12, check out my ACC Power Poll. Also, do your part for the ACC’s most dynamic player and vote for C.J. Spiller for Heisman or whatever other ACC players that catch your eye here.

Week 9 of ACC Game and What Knowledge We’ve Gained

This week saw all favorites win on the field in the ACC which is more surprising than anything this season. Here’s the updated standings…

ATLANTIC DIVISION
School Conference Pct. Overall Pct.
Boston College 3-2 .600 6-3 .667
Clemson 3-2 .600 5-3 .625
Florida State 2-3 .400 4-4 .500
Wake Forest 2-4 .333 4-6 .400
NC State 1-4 .200 4-5 .444
Maryland 1-5 .167 2-7 .200
COASTAL DIVISION
School Conference Pct. Overall Pct.
Georgia Tech 6-1 .857 9-1 .900
Miami 4-2 .667 7-2 .778
Virginia Tech 4-2 .667 7-3 .700
Duke 3-2 .600 5-4 .556
North Carolina 2-3 .400 6-3 .667
Virginia 2-3 .400 3-6 .333

(Graphic per TheACC but altered by me)

Projected ACC Atlantic Champ: Clemson

The Tigers are in position…really…seriously…they could do this. Last we talked about the Tigers burning me multiple times for predictions but I still was going to pick them to win the Atlantic–hey, I’m looking pretty good right now. Clemson developed an offense in the bye week between Maryland loss and Wake Forest win and have catapulted to the top of the Atlantic since. Other than Georgia Tech and Florida State, there is not a offense in the ACC playing better than Clemson right now which is remarkable with all the heat that is on Clemson offensive coordinator Billy Napier. Two games stand between the Tigers and Tampa with NC State in Raleigh and back home with Virginia.

Projected ACC Coastal Champ: Georgia Tech

They struggled and nearly gave it all away on a 4th down attempt in the late 4th quarter, but Coach Johnson’s aggressiveness paid off in the overtime for the win and they only have Duke between them and the trip to Florida. A couple weeks ago we said that that would be a tough game–after a couple weeks of watching football now–I am going with the Jackets, but it could very well be close. Duke will be playing for the goal of 7 wins that seemed so reachable weeks ago and Georgia Tech has not been dominant down the stretch. Bottom line, Duke has nothing for a well-tuned wreckbone offense, but Thad Lewis is always the X factor.

As we build on this each week…

Projected ACC Champ: Clemson

Now you are like, wait, what? Georgia Tech met the Tigers already this season and frankly–I thought Clemson was the better team out of that game even in the loss. Georgia Tech has played better since then overall, but Clemson has performed remarkably well post-Maryland loss in the last 4 games. It will be an epic matchup with lots of scoring if this happens, but we’ve still got a few weeks to go.

Wheel Routes(in honor of C.J. Spiller)

*The Canes may not be as good as we thought in October. Sure, they are 7-2, but Miami just has not looked impressive in a long time. Miami QB Jacory Harris has come down to earth and Miami’s overall scheme has too. The big plays are not happening as frequently. Miami is a solid team with tons of talent, but they are still a bit away from elite status.

*North Carolina’s defense is willing them to victory. They kept Duke’s offense under 130 yards and the offense chipped in enough field goals to get the victory to press towards bowl elgibility.

*Florida State’s Christian Ponder is a warrior, but his ‘Noles are not there yet. Ponder struggled through injuries and would throw 4 picks and separate his shoulder on a tackle of Clemson’s DeAndre McDaniel after one of those INTs. The ‘Noles offense faced their toughest test yet in a defense and played well enough to win, but the turnovers would kill them. The defense even showed up for FSU in the first quarter, but they did not hold the Tigers when they needed to in key situations.

*The Deacs can still play spoiler. Riley Skinner went from nearly being held out to playing well enough to win on the road at Georgia Tech. The Deacs have two winnable games coming up with FSU possibly minus Ponder and with Manuel and Duke on the road after a bye week. A bowl is not out of the realm of possibilities for the 4-6 Demon Deacons.

*NC State still has an offense, but still has zero defense. They defeated the Terps like the other six teams not named Clemson this season and Russell Wilson would have an okay day. He threw for over 300 yards and 3 TDs, but also gave up 3 INTs. The Wolfpack is just not a solid football team and they will not be bowling this season which is an epic disappointment for all the preseason hype.

*Duke’s bowl chances are shot. I’ve liked Duke in the middle of the season, but they had to have this UNC game for the opportunity to win 1 of 3 from Georgia Tech, Miami, and Wake Forest to make a bowl. It makes this week’s Georgia Tech game an absolute must-win for a bowl.

*Virginia and Maryland are still playing hard despite their issues. I watched their games closely and they both put up good efforts on the road. These teams have injury/coaching issues that result in losses quite frequently. For UVA, there is only one option and that is a change in regime. For Maryland, Friedgen is a good coach in my estimation, but he and Maryland need a fresh start because something got really screwed up in the past few years.

What do you think about the ACC down the stretch? Should be interesting…

It’s Still Anyone’s Game in the ACC

Friday, November 6th, 2009

Former New York Yankees great and Hall of Fame catcher Yogi Berra was once quoted as saying,It was like déjà vu all over again.”  Yes, it’s redundant, but it provides an accurate assessment of the Atlantic Division standings in the ACC as we head into the final month of the regular football season. A year ago, you might recall, a 5-3 record was good enough to win both divisions in the conference. That might be good if you’re into parity, but not so good if you hope the ACC becomes a player in the national championship picture. I get to travel around the country as the radio voice of ESPNs College Football Game of the Week and so far I haven’t heard much discussion about the ACC when it comes to the national championship picture and rightfully so. Right now, of the 12 teams in the ACC, only one - Georgia Tech - has lost just one game overall.  One ACC team, Miami, has lost just twice. The rest of the schools have at least three defeats.  The math is easy to do when it comes to college footballs national championship. One loss means you still have a shot; two you are pretty much out of it (LSU did make the title game with two defeats); and three? well, you can forget about it.

This is the problem for the ACC right now.  The conference has a really good team in Georgia Tech, a really good one in Miami, and the remaining ten can certainly win on any given Saturday. But they can also lose as well. What does it tell you that Maryland at 2-6 overall and 1-3 in the ACC still has a mathematical chance of winning the Atlantic Division? Will they? Probably not, but they still have four conference games remaining.  Right now the Coastal Division is Georgia Techs to lose. The Yellow Jackets have two conference games left; if they win them both they will be in Tampa the first week of December with a 10-1 overall record. The Jackets host Wake this weekend, then travel to Duke for what could be a game for the division title. The Atlantic Division is not so easy to call. The Clemson-Florida State game this weekend will have a huge effect on the eventual winner. If the Tigers win, they move into the drivers seat because they already have a win over Boston College (the Eagles are idle this weekend). A Florida State win means if BC wins out they head to the ACC title game again. This is all very exciting for fans of the respective schools to still be in the hunt for a division title this late in the season but what the ACC needs is have three or four teams with just one loss in this type of situation.  Only then will the rest of college football nation take notice.  Only then will the ACC have a shot at playing for the national championship.

I don’t know if you noticed, but when was the last time Duke had three players of the week in the ACC? They did this past week with Quarterback Thaddeus Lewis sharing offensive honors with Miami Quarterback Jacory Harris. Rookie of the Week was wide receiver Conner Vernon who had seven receptions for 103 yards and special teams player of the week was kicker Will Snyderwine who five field goals in the win over Virginia.

I get the opportunity to see the Pac Ten this week as I call the Southern Cal-Arizona State game for ESPN Radio.  Check your local listings.